Data Analysis of Chick-fil-A, KFC, and Popeyes

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Did you know that each American ate 48.8 kg of chicken in 2017 alone? That makes chicken the most popular meat in the United States. Just looking at the numbers tells you that fast food chicken restaurants are a hot commodity in the U.S. KFC, Chick-Fil-A, and Popeyes are all household names; these fast food restaurants serve not only great chicken but also a seamless buying experience that keeps Americans coming back for more.

That’s why we decided to take a closer look at their foot traffic, and how each of these giants fared during the most unusual year of our lifetime and into February 2021. Let’s take a look at the data to find out how they did.

The State of Fast Food

Before we get to the details, it’s important to understand what was happening in the fast food industry in 2020, and what dining behavior looked like for most consumers. As lockdowns swept across the United States, restaurants were forced to close their dining rooms and had to innovate quickly to accommodate increased delivery demands. This is where fast food restaurants had an advantage over the rest of the restaurant industry. With existing drive-throughs, a reputation for quickness, and no delivery fees, it’s not surprising that many consumers chose drive-through over delivery (if only to get out of the house for a little while).

According to data from our economic activity by state and category dashboard, foot traffic to fast food restaurants was 14% lower in February 2021 compared to February 2020.

Is the Chicken Sandwich War Still Going?

If we were to ask America which fast food restaurants serve the best chicken, they would give you different answers, but Popeyes, Chick-Fil-A, and KFC would be mentioned often. KFC popularized the bucket of fried chicken, Popeyes made popcorn chicken a thing, and Chick-Fil-A was able to make a name for itself by offering healthier chicken with a giant helping of customer service.

KFC and Popeyes’ foot traffic was on a similar trajectory in April 2020 but Chick-Fil-A’s traffic was nearly 65% lower than pre-COVID. Popeyes and KFC may have had more retail locations in less-affected markets than Chick-Fil-A, giving them an edge at a time when people weren’t straying too far from home.  All three brands began to recover foot traffic in May and June, but while Chick-Fil-A’s continued to recover foot traffic through the fall, foot traffic at both KFC and Popeyes stalled. Chick-Fil-A eventually caught up to Popeyes and KFC in November and as of February 2021, foot traffic was just 12% lower compared to pre-COVID levels.

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Regional Trends

Chick-Fil-A was the most impacted of the 3 chains in every region, but then overtook both Popeyes and KFC starting (in the Midwest) in November 2020. For all chains, foot traffic was least impacted at restaurant locations in the South, while those in the West were the most impacted. In both the Northeast and the Midwest, Popeyes and KFC performed similarly.

As of February 2021, Chick-Fil-A was outperforming both Popeyes and KFC in terms of foot traffic in every region. Customers in the Midwest and South seemed to choose Popeyes over KFC, while those in the Northeast and West favored KFC over Popeyes. Foot traffic recovery for all 3 restaurant chains was at its lowest in the West.

Based on regional trends, people are returning to Chick-Fil-A more quickly than they are to Popeyes or KFC.

Weekday vs. Weekends

Weekday and weekend foot traffic follow similar patterns for both Popeyes and KFC. Chick-fil-A, however, retained far more of its weekday foot traffic than its weekend traffic. Chick-fil-A has also recovered its weekday foot traffic much more quickly. Although Chick-Fil-A has managed to bring back more of its overall foot traffic than KFC and Popeyes, it still lags behind both in terms of weekend foot traffic recovery.

With its tradition of being closed on Sundays, Chick-Fil-A has always been busier on weekdays than on weekends — unlike most other fast food chains. Would that change if Chick-fil-A were to open on Sundays? It’s possible, but it would mean a big change to Chick-fil-A’s business model.

The Verdict: Customer Experience Wins

Based on our data, Chick-fil-A stands out in terms of foot traffic recovery. One thing that consistently puts Chick-Fil-A in the lead is their unparalleled customer service. According to the American Customer Satisfaction Index, Chick-Fil-A scored the highest among all fast-food chains with a score of 84, where the space as a whole scored a 78. Their marketing efforts are also top-notch.

Steve Robinson, Chick-Fil-A’s head of marketing said, “…why are we doing the same promotion as every other fast food brand?” This is a fundamental question that is important in a post-COVID world: how do fast food chains promote their brand in a way that doesn’t make them look like every other restaurant?

With Chick-Fil-A now winning America’s chicken sandwich war, Popeyes and KFC should consider taking a page out of the Chick-fil-A playbook and start investing in their own customer and dining experiences. Sometimes, the overall experience is every bit as important as the actual meal.

The Road Ahead for Fast Food

Fast food is clearly still winning over consumers. Many Americans are still wary of dining in a restaurant, and fast food is often more economical than paying delivery fees or dining in. The fast food industry continues to evolve with the times, offering up more healthy options while still keeping the “fast” part of the equation in check.

We predict that Chick-Fil-A’s customer experience is going to be more important than ever before. Fast and cheap just won’t cut it anymore. It’s time for fast food restaurants to take it a step further and listen to what their customers want — and actually act on the feedback.

To learn more about location data and what Unacast can do for you, book a meeting with us today.

Frequently Asked Questions

Discover how analyzing real-world movement patterns can reveal valuable trends in customer behavior, optimize business operations, and enhance strategic decision-making.

What is site selection and why is it important?

Site selection is the strategic process by which businesses identify, evaluate, and choose optimal locations for their operations. This process is paramount as the location of a business directly influences factors such as accessibility, visibility, profitability, and market longevity. For retailers, the right site can mean higher customer footfall and increased sales. In real estate, a well-selected site can promise lucrative returns on investment and tenant stability. Financial service firms leverage site selection to position their branches or ATMs in high-demand areas. Essentially, site selection plays a pivotal role in ensuring the success and growth of a business by aligning its physical presence with market opportunities and demands.

How does location intelligence enhance site selection?

Location intelligence refers to the harnessing of geospatial data to derive actionable insights, which can significantly enhance the site selection process. By analyzing data like consumer demographics, foot traffic patterns, competitor locations, trade area data, and more, businesses can make more informed decisions about where to establish or expand their operations. Location intelligence allows for a deeper understanding of market dynamics, revealing hidden opportunities or potential pitfalls. For instance, retailers can identify gaps in the market, real estate professionals can forecast property value trends, and financial service providers can assess areas with high customer demand. Advanced tools, like those offered by Unacast, further refine these insights by leveraging AI and machine learning, enabling more precise and timely decision-making.

What challenges do businesses face in the site selection process?

Unacast provides invaluable support to businesses during the site selection process through its advanced location data and analytics software, all powered and refined by Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning technologies. The company offers a suite of products designed to deliver accurate, actionable, and comprehensive location intelligence. This data proves crucial for businesses looking to understand consumer behavior, analyze traffic patterns, evaluate competitor locations, and much more. With Unacast’s robust tools, businesses in retail, real estate, and financial services can derive insightful information necessary for making strategic, informed site selection decisions. The platform not only provides reliable data but also ensures it is readily actionable for businesses, whether they are looking to open a new store, invest in property, or expand their financial services to new locations.

What types of location data are crucial for informed site selection?

Demographic data offers insights into the age, income, and lifestyle of people in a particular area, helping businesses understand their potential customer base. Foot traffic data provides information on the number of people visiting a location, which is crucial for retailers to estimate the store's potential popularity and for real estate professionals to assess an area's vibrancy and demand. Geographic Information System (GIS) data helps in visualizing and analyzing geographical details, supporting companies in identifying accessible and strategically located sites. Understanding the proximity to competitors, accessibility, and the socio-economic profile of the surrounding areas is also vital. Unacast’s platform aggregates and analyzes these various data types, providing a holistic view that significantly empowers businesses in their site selection endeavors.

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